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5SECONDMODEL COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE UNDERWRITING

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Back-of-the-napkin commercial real estate underwriting, in seconds.

5 Second Model · back-of-the-napkin underwriting

 

 

 

Equity Waterfall

Whose money, whose promote. How a deal's profit actually splits between LP and sponsor.

The distance between a deal’s IRR and the limited partner’s IRR is what the sponsor’s promote costs the investor. This model runs a cumulative preferred return on unreturned capital, returns capital, applies an optional catch-up and splits the residual with a promote. It reports LP and sponsor returns separately, the dollars of promote earned, and the sponsor’s share of total profit.

Statement of assumptions & returnsAll figures USD · annual unless noted · click any number to type it exactly

LP net IRR / Sponsor IRR

--

Where each dollar of profit lands

The capital

Total equity--
Limited partner contribution--
Sponsor co-investment--
Total distributions over the hold--
Total profit--

The split

Return of capital to LP--
Preferred return paid--
Unpaid preferred still accrued--
Split above the pref--
To the limited partner--
To the sponsor--
Sponsor promote earned--
Sponsor share of profit--

What each side earns

LP equity multiple--
LP IRR--
Sponsor equity multiple--
Sponsor IRR on co-invest plus promote--
Deal-level IRR before the split--
How to read the gap. The distance between the deal-level IRR and the LP IRR is what the sponsor's promote costs the investor. A 3-4 point gap on a strong deal is normal and is what pays a sponsor to find and run it. A large gap on a mediocre deal means the structure, not the real estate, is doing the earning.
Modeled here: a cumulative, non-compounding preferred return, return of capital, then a straight promote split above the pref. Real agreements add catch-up provisions, IRR-based tier hurdles, clawbacks, fees paid to the sponsor before any of this runs, and different treatment of operating cash versus sale proceeds. Sponsor fees — acquisition, asset management, disposition — usually matter more than the promote and are not modeled. Read the operating agreement.

Common questions

What is a typical promote structure?
An 8% preferred return with a 20% promote above it is the market default for a single-tier deal. Institutional structures add IRR-based tiers, catch-ups and clawbacks.
How big should the gap between deal IRR and LP IRR be?
Three to four points on a strong deal is normal and is what pays a sponsor to find and run it. A large gap on a mediocre deal means the structure, not the real estate, is doing the earning.
What matters more than the promote?
Sponsor fees, usually. Acquisition, asset management and disposition fees are paid before any of this runs and often exceed the promote. Read the operating agreement.
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